|
Dedicated
to The Future Finance Minister
-
Who is frank and honest to tell the people of India
regarding the correct state of economy of the Nation.
-
Who can take steps to bring 6 crores people in tax-net.
-
Who can recover 90% of Income Tax on total taxable
income.
-
Who can reduce excise duty to slabs of 8% and 16%.
-
Who can abolish Service Tax.
-
Who can abolish Dearness Allowance.
-
Who can reduce pension from 50% of basic pay to
30% of basic pay
and abolish Family Pension.
-
Who can reduce Fiscal Deficit of 6% of G.D.P. to
2% and reduce
interest payment liabilities.
-
Who can give freedom from earning at the age of
65 to Indian
Citizens through the Pension Scheme.
-
Who can make the country corruption-free on the
implementation of
Tax Laws.
-
Who can take the decisions and understand value
of time.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
My deepest debt of gratitude is due to the following
Authors or Compilers, that have played very important
part in writing this book.
I have taken the support of their views, ideas, opinions
and statistics in expressing my ideas, suggestions,
suppositions and estimates.
INTRODUCTION
:
1.
Framing of India's Constitution By B.Shiva Rao, extract
from the speech of Dr. B. R. Ambedkar, delivered on
25th November, 1949, in the Constituent Assembly,
Selected Documents-Volume IV.
2. Indian Tax Statistic 1951-2001, published by the
Indian Tax Foundation.
3. Economic Survey 2001-2002, Government of India.
4. Indian Economic Survey 2002-2003, by Aklank Publications.
5. Reading in Economics Servicing of Internal Debt,
Editor, D.S.Awasthi, published by the Indian Economics
Association. Two Articles (1988-89).
6. A Safe Limit for Domestic Debt, Dr. O.P.Brahmachary.
7. Mounting Internal-Debt - A serious challenge to
Fiscal Policy, Dr. B. M. Jauhari.
8. "Political Leaders", Book "Man The
Unknown", Dr. Alexis Carrel (Nobel Laureate).
(2)
PART-I
:- Decision Making and Value of Time.
9.
Alvin Toffler, the book, "Power Shift" 1990,
(Fast decision economy & Slow decision economy).
10. Dr. Raja J. Chelliah, Tax-Reform Committee Report,
1991-1992.
11. Citizens Rights, Judge and State Accountability
by A.G. Noorani.
PART-II
:-
12.
The Fifth Central Pay Commission Report.
13. The First National Judicial Pay Commission Report,
Mr. Justice Shetty.
14. Budgets 1991 to 2003, Taxmann Publication.
15. D.S. Nakara Vs. Union of India, AIR-1983, Supreme
Court, page-130 (A.I.R. Publication).
16. Constitutional Law of India, by H. M. Seervai,
Volume-I, 1991-Edition, (D.S. Nakara's Judgement criticized).
17. Pension & Provident Fund Liability by A.B.
Rajwade, published in Business Standard, dated on
18/04/2003.
18. Statistical Outline of India 2001-2002, Tata Services
Ltd.,
(3)
PART-III
:-
19.
Black Money in India by Arun Kumar.
20. Direct Taxes, Ready Reckoner by Dr. Vinod K. Singhany,
published by Taxmann. "List of perquisites allowances
not taxable."
21. Kelkar Committee Report On Direct Taxes.
22. A Letter to an assessee in U.S.A., by Christopher
Cox, Chairman of the House Policy Committee, Report
on the United States Government-1999.
23. Income Tax Rules-1976, Part-IV & V of Income
Tax Rules.
PART-IV
:-
24.
Freedom From Earning Through Public Provident Fund,
by Vasant J. Desai.
25. Kelkar Committee Report on Direct-Taxes.
26. Alvin Toffler, book, "Power-Shift, "Bureaucracy".
27. Standard & Poor Rating on 19th September,
2002. (Down-graded India's Local Currency Sovereign
rating to junk status.)
28. Allen Tough, "Critical Question about Future",
(A sample pledge-I).
29. "Corruption in India", by Shri N. Vittal,
published by Academic Foundation, New Delhi.
(4)
30.
Globalisation & Its Discontents, Mr. Joseph Stiglitz,
(Winner of the Nobel Prize for Economics-2001.)
31. Control Over Public Finance In India, by S.P.
Ganguly,
32. "Corruption & Prime Ministers",
by Shri T.C.A. Nivasa Raghavan, published in Business
Standard dated on 19th August, 2002.
33. Down Grading Rupee Debt to Junk. The Relevant
extract from the Article of "Ila Patnaik in Business
Standard", dated on 02/10/2002.
PART-V
:-
34.
The Editor, The Times of India, for publishing my
letters and incorporating editorial of the Times in
the Book.
35. The Editor, The Indian Express.
36. The Editor, Business Standard.
37. The Editor, Economics Times.
38. The Editor, Economics & Political Weekly.
Introduction
to Web
The manuscript of the book "India in Debt
Trap-2007? Remedies" was ready in the month
of September, 2003. I had tried to contact wellknown
publishers but the Oxford University-Press, Sage Publications,
Tata McGraw Hill Publishing Co. Ltd., and some other
publishers declined to publish the book. I decided
to put the above book on the website without any charge.
I had sent the manuscript of the book to the World
Bank, New Delhi, for the foreword to the book. Shri
Sumir Lal, Advisor, External Affairs of the World
Bank has observed in his letter dated 6th October,
2003 "You have indeed provided a comprehensive
analysis of this urgent and complex subject."
The letter dated 6th October, 2003 is put on the website
with this Introduction. The Hon'ble Shri Rangrajan,
Chairman of the Twelfth Finance commission through
the letter dated 10th December, 2003 has observed,
"You made a number of valuable points. India's
growth rate can be sustained only if the fiscal system
is in good shape." The letter dated 10th December,
2003 of Shri Rangrajan is put on the website.
I had sent the copies of the book to the eighteen
dignitaries including The Hon'ble Prime Minister,
The Finance Minister, and other Ministers and Secretaries,
who were likely to take decisions on the Budget of
year-2004. Most of the dignitaries had acknowledged
the receipt of the book.
Original preface written in October, 2003 is also
included. The contents of the book are in five parts
with the Introduction, which is separately explained.
The Budget for 2004-2005 was approved by the Lok-Sabha
on 5th February, 2004. A letter addressed to the Finance
Minister is enclosed too.
I am pleased to thank Shri K. H. Kaji, Senior Advocate,
Eminent Tax Consultant of Gujarat and Former acting
Advocate General of the Gujarat High Court for writing
his Foreword to the book. I had requested him as I
have suggested number of remedies to reduce the deficit
and increase the revenue, which only the tax consultant
can appreciate.
PREFACE
The International Monetary Fund (I.M.F.) new Managing
Director on 16th June, 2000, warned India against
its mounting Fiscal Deficit saying, this would worsen
the problems of Fiscal Consolidation even while observing
that its ambitions 8% to 10% was achievable in the
medium term.
"The
Central Finances, and the State Finances will have
to be consolidated, as otherwise, India could embark
on much more difficult problems than today."
Kohler told reporters that, It was not I.M.F.'s approach
to lecture on the country's problems. (The Times of
India).
The I.M.F. came down hard on India's Fiscal Deficit,
at 11% of G.D.P. which was deplorable after consultations
between its executives and India on 19th June, 2000
and suggested seven Ways and Means to reduce deficit.
The Times of India had reported that 11th Finance
Commission has increased, share of States from 29%
to 33.5% increasing additional liability of the Central
Government Rs.7,000 crore to Rs.10,000 crore per year.
The Times of India had published my letter of 16th
July, 2000 which is reproduced in Part-V - Letters.
I.M.F. had written a letter in month of June, 2002
to the Central Government regarding Fiscal condition,
which is not published but, News Item was published
on 28th August, 2002. The I.M.F. warnings have prompted
me to write this book.
The Chief Economist of the World Bank, Mr. Nicholas
Stern had warned (The Times of India, on 23rd May,
2003) that India must control its huge fiscal deficit
in the interest of long-term economic health. He added
that the combined fiscal deficit of the Federal and
State Governments were a matter of concern. The figure
is close 10% of G.D.P. now, one of the highest in
the world.
The Central Government is not able to meet Non-Plan
Expenses, namely:-
-
Interest Payment
-
Defence
-
Pension
-
Pay
-
Subsidies
-
Grants
From
revenue receipts and has to borrow about Rs.95,595
crore for year 2001-2002 and about Rs.95,377 crore
for year 2002-2003. The entire plan expenditure was
from borrowed funds.
| Sr.
No. |
Particulars |
1990-1991
Rs. Crores |
2002-2003
Rs. Crores |
| 1. |
Total
Debts |
3,14,258 |
15,03,883.00 |
| 2. |
Contingent
Liability (which do not form part of debt guarantees) |
|
96,858.88 |
| 3. |
Interest
Payment (per year) |
19,664 |
1,23,000.00 |
| 4. |
Pay
Bill |
|
33,000.00 |
| 5. |
Pension
Bill |
3,271 |
24,000.00 |
| 6. |
Subsidies |
9,582 |
49,000.00 |
| 7. |
Revenue
Receipts |
59,954 |
2,33,935.00 |
For year 2003-2004, the total expenditure is estimated
at:
Rs.3,17,821 Non-Plan Expenditure
Rs.1,20,974 Plan Expenditure
---------------
Rs.4,38,795 crores, Total Expenditure.
While revenue receipts are estimated at Rs.2,53,935.00
crores. The Central Government will not be able to
meet day to day expenses, namely:- Non-Plan expenses
and Rs.63,880 crores will be spent from borrowed funds.
The entire plan expenditure Rs.1,20,974 crores will
be from the borrowed funds.
Suggestions:
The
suggestions are made in the book with the following
objects.
-
Steps to take reduce Interest Payment Liability.
- To
reduce expenses on Pay and Pension, which is about
45% of net revenue receipts after deducting interest
payment liability amount. The Corporate Sector and
the foreign developed countries spend 8% to 10%
on the salaries etc.
-
To control black money and bring 6 crores assessees
in tax net.
-
To provide pension scheme for assessees and recover
income-tax at the low rate and abolition of all
tax-exemptions.
-
The suggestions are made with personal income-tax
only and target is to recover Rs.1,50,000 crores
(Rupees One lac fifty thousand crores) income tax
while receipts from Income-Tax was Rs.81,000 crores
in year 2002-2003.
Similar
attempt can be made for Corporate Taxation, Excise
and Custom Duty.
There are 13 crore assessees in U.S.A. out of population
of 24 crores. U.S.A. recovers 92% of Income-tax on
total taxable income and India does not recover even
20% of total taxable income. In U.S.A. a person earning
about 17,000$ per year, is a poor person, but he pays
income tax as exemption limit is about 7,000$ per
year.
There are number of articles published in daily Newspapers
and Journals regarding economic condition of India,
but specific remedies are not suggested to increase
revenue, reduce debts and expenditure. An attempt
is made to pinpoint above aspects of the economy.
I love my country is the only qualification to write
this book as an ordinary citizen of India.
Shri C. M. Vasudev, Economic Affairs Secretary had
observed on his retirement, 31st July, 2002 in his
interview with the "Business Standard":
"Several
times politics over-rides economic considerations
despite a decade of liberalization, India has not
been able to separate economic from politics."
We hope the N.D.A. Government will overcome this weakness
in implementing economic measures suggested in this
book or such similar measures, which can achieve above
objectives.
The World Bank
INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION
AND DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCAITION
New Delhi Office, 70, Lodi Estate, New Delhi - 110
003 INDIA
Telephone:2461724/24619491 Cable Address : INTBAFRAD
Mailing Address: P.O.Box 416 Facsimile 24619393
October
6, 2003
Mr.
Vasant J. Desai Advocate
4 B.Jadav Chambers
1st Floor, Ashram Road
Ahmedabad 380 009
Dear
Mr. Desai,
Thank you very much for the manuscript of your book
"India in debt trap 2007? Remedies". You
have indeed provided a comprehensive analysis of this
urgent and complex subject.
Unfortunately, we will not be able to provide a foreword
to the book as our policies do not permit individual
endorsements of this nature. In any case, we feel
your book will carry greater weight and authenticity
if you are able to get some eminent Indian commentator
to provide the foreword.
We are therefore returning your manuscript and are
also enclosing a copy of the India Development Policy
Review, in which you have expressed an interest in
your letter.
We wish you all the best in your endeavors.
Sincerely,
Sd/- Sumir Lal
Advisor, External Affairs
Attachment
C.
RANGARAJAN CHAIRMAN
TWELFTH FINANCE COMMISSION JAWAHAR VYAPAR BHAWAN,
1, TOLSTOY MARG, NEW DELHI - 110 001.
D.O.No.CH/TFC/PS/2003-8095
December
10, 2003
Dear Shri Desai,
I am sorry for the delay in responding to your letter
of October 6, 2003. I have received the copy of your
study. You have made a number of valuable points.
India's growth rate can be sustained only if the fiscal
system is in a good shape.
With regards,
Yours
sincerely
Sd/-
(C. RANGARAJAN)
Shri
Vasant J. Desai
Advocate, Supreme Court
4-B, Jadav Chambers
1st Floor, Ashram Road
Ahmedabad - 380 009.
FOREWORD
BY KANISHKA
H. KAJI FORMER ACTING ADVOCATE GENERAL OF GUJARAT
HIGH COURT AND TAX CONSULTANT
Office :
503, Samruddhi, Sattar Taluka Society,
Opp. Old High Court Lane, Navjivan,
Ahmedabad - 380 014.
Tel : (079) 7542786
Fax : (079) 7544264
H.C.Chamber No. 102, Tel:7499068
Mobile : 9825036498
Email : khkaji@hotmail.com
khkaji@sify.com
I
glanced through considerable portion of Mr. Vasant
Desai's book on "India in Debt Trap - 2007? Remedies".
It is really amazing for a non-economist like my lawyer
friend Mr. Desai to have delved into India's malaise
on fiscal front for the last 50 years, and to come
out with remedies which would put India on in a very
happy position miles away from debt trap. The facts
and figures set out are from unimpeachable sources
and show how steps suggested by reports of various
committees & commissions have been stalled if
not ignored by the Government.
India has to be on way to becoming a "fast moving
economy" from the present slow moving economy
which is the result of want of courage & boldness
on the part of the Ruling party and continuing to
pamper the vote banks & the soft economics of
borrowings to meet interest payments and bloated administration
costs. If India wants to succeed it must become fast
decision economy from slow moving economy.
Mr. Desai has very well said :
"We Indians suffer from three disabilities,
viz
- We
do not have brevity of expression.
- We
do not take decisions.
-
We do not have value of time."
Only if suggestions & proposals contained in several
reports cited by Mr. Desai had been bonafide accepted
& not merely on paper, and speedily implemented
things would have been radically different on the
fiscal front instead of the Debt Trap looming large
before us. Classic example is the delay in construction
of Narmada Dam owing to misguided environmental activits
supported by Foreign Countries with ulterior motives.
Profligate administration and non plan expenditure
- uncontrolled and increasing unabatedly coupled with
slow paddling on subsidies, tax rebate & exemptions
to pamper the rich & even not so rich populace
has raised expectations of the vocal population beyond
all reason, causing loss of huge revenue to the Govt.
which it can hardly afford which shortfall it meets
by printing notes. The recent announcement by the
Finance Minister in the interim Budget about merging
of DA with basic pay of Central Govt. Employees shows
total unconcern about chain reaction in case of State
employees & Employees of Municipal Corporations
and would increase the wage bill substantially while
crying hoarse to reduce revenue expenditure.
Self engrandisement by MPS & MLAS by passing bills
without any debate making huge unwarranted increases
in their emoluments including life long pension even
after being MP or MLA for a day should shudder the
minds of all sane citizens who have the interest of
the country at heart.
Suggestions for restructuring of Income Tax rates,
rebates, exemptions are very radical & no Govt.
I dare say would be bold enough to implement even
some of them. Soft paddling on exemptions & rebates
u/s.80L, 88, 88B etc. which do not exist in any other
country is unpardonable. Any honest Govt. whether
single party or coalition Govt. should be bold enough
to implement many valuable suggestions made in this
treatise which will put things on right tract. Even
if our eyes go round the world and see how tax policies
bring about fiscal discipline and just taxation, it
will be evident that we have gone the wrong way all
along inspite of all facts showing the other way and
are sinking deeper & deeper in the malaise of
corruption, incompetence, tardy implementation of
necessary fiscal reform, profligate administration
costs and living under false mirage of economic resurgence
on account of recent "feel good factor".
In the Chapter IX in Part III on Tax Rate & Pension
Scheme Mr. Desai had made valuable suggestions for
providing Pension to citizens after a certain age
while making every income taxable even at low rate
and at the same time making citizen contribute certain
percentage of tax towards pension which would be available
to him on retirement.
Detailed working has been given which shows that while
the assessee pays tax, may be at low rate, and he
is put on tax Roll while ensuring that he gets pension
on retirement in certain proportion to taxes paid
by him. The present idea of the Government seems to
go on increasing the tax exemption limit from Rs.50,000/-
to Rs.1 lac, which is a retrograde move not found
in any other country which taxes even much lower income,
may be, at low rate. Social security can only be legitimately
provided if all pay taxes and contribute towards social
security.
The Chapter IV Part IV on corruption reveals less
known facts on corruption and Politicians and the
axis between them. The extracts from an article by
Mr. T.C.A. Srinivasa Raghavan on corruption &
the Prime Ministers shows how the Investigating Agencies,
the rule of law and the Judicial arm of the state
are coerced, subverted with the result that no corrupt
politician or bureaucrat is convicted by Courts and
prosecution drags on for decades during which period,
witnesses are bought over, evidence lost and every
one has lost interest in the prosecution. Likes of
Sukh Rams flourish and political alliances made for
short term gains while the country loses on the moral
front immensely. Nepotism, favoritism and family engrandisement
goes on at the highest level and nothing happens to
anyone who has a Godfather in political arena.
Lest all of us despair as to what a citizen (non aligned
with any political party) can do, Mr. Desai has valiantly
pointed out in Part IV Ch.VII "what we can do".
It requires great courage, strong determination, and
perseverance to expose, prevent & cure the rot
set in since last 50 years. There are great dangers
to life & property of persons who try to set things
right as shown by officers & social workers like,
Dubey and others who have laid down their lives trying
to succor to the ailing mother India who is sucked
by leeches. But we should not lose heart. May be what
we contribute to Mother India's well being may be
a drop in the ocean but still we can show the way.
I am sure there are people, amongst politicians, bureaucrats
and citizens who are pained at what is going on &
who would love to do something to lift the country
from the cesspool of corruption, incompetence, procrastination
& soft paddling fundamental reforms in the field
of economics, trade, monetary matters. Merely shouting
about "feel good factor" or "shining
India" may bring only temporary elation and feeling
of joy but such ephemeral slogans would not carry
us far.
"Tighten
the belts" & let us start with profligate
Politicians the ministers & bureaucrats &
the VIPs and show by example what can be done. Ounce
of practice is better than tons of preaching. "Example
is better than precept" - we had enough of preaching.
Let likes of the Mahatma Gandhi, Vallabhbhai Patel
& Lal Bahadur Shastri come up once again and restore
sanity amongst people who rule us.
I wish Mr. Desai all success in the new venture as
an Economist & fiscal reformer and earnestly hope
that the national crippling financial malaise is recognized
& appreciated and remedies suggested, implemented.
AHMEDABAD
20th February, 2004.
Sd/-
(K. H. Kaji)
Former Acting Advocate General of Gujarat,
Former Standing Counsel to
Income Tax Dept.Gujarat,
President Emeritus, Income Tax
Appellate Tribunal Bar Association, Ahmedabad.
Letter
to Finance Minister
Respected
Shri Jaswant Singhji,
Heartiest congratulations for reducing the fiscal
deficit in revised budget for 2003-04 from Rs.1,53,000
crore (estimated) to Rs.1,32,103 crore. It was achieved
as :-
-
Tax recovery had increased Rs.3400 crores.
-
Rs.4200 crores dividends from PSUS received more
than the estimated amount.
-
Loan amount of Rs.46,000 crore recovery from the
States under the scheme.
-
Rs.5200 crore subsidies paid less because food mountain
disappeared.
-
PSUS bears subsidies on gas and kerosene partly.
-
Low interest rate and defence had not spent Rs.5,000
crore.
You
have done a good work in reconstructing the Unit Trust
of India because you are a fast decision maker.
India
has got the lowest tax G.D.P. ratio 8.6%. You have
presented two budgets but you have not taken a single
step to increase the tax revenue. On the contrary,
you have reintroduced the deduction under section
80L from Rs.9000 to Rs.12000 + 3000 and senior citizens
tax rebate under section 88B of I. T. Act was raised
from 15,000 to 20,000 Rs., thereby you have excluded
two crores eligible tax payers from the tax-net, who
can have income of Rs.3 lacs provided they take advantage
of the Provisions of Standard Deduction, 80L and 88
of I. T. Act.
You
were not able to withstand the political pressure
from the office of the Prima Minister at the instance
of Member of Parliament from Delhi and the President
of the Bhartiya Janta Party. Basically, you were against
merger of D.A. with pay, but at the last minute the
decision was taken and 50% of D.A. will be merged
with the basic pay.
The merger of 50% of D.A. with the basic pay is to
give death blow to the finances of Central Government
and States Governments. At present, number of states
are not able to fulfil the obligations regarding the
payment of pay and pension and development works have
suffered. The recommendations of the Fifth Central
Pay Commission to reduce 30% of Staff, 4 national
holidays, 7 casual leaves and 6 days working are not
adopted and new scales were given to the Central Government
staff who work only 193 days and enjoy 172 days in
a year, which is a record holidays for any employee
in the world. About 38 lacs Central Government Pensioners
take away Rs.24000 crore pension per year which was
Rs.3211 crore in 1991-92. The future generation has
to pay more taxes without fault on their part on account
of your decision.
You
have estimated revenue deficit of Rs.89,000 crore
for year 2004-05. You have stated in an interview
that revenue deficit will be nil by 2006. It is provided
under the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management
Act to abolish the revenue deficit completely on 31st
March 2008.
You
will have to levy & recover tax and reduce expenditure
to the extent of Rs.1,25,000 crore in order to reduce
the revenue deficit to Zero.
I
wish that you become next Finance Minister and achieve
the goals, which I have mentioned in Dedication to
the Future Finance-Minister.
I
wish that you should not rely on uncertain monsoon
and growth, which is also uncertain due to the nature
of monsoon.
I
wish that as a new Finance Minister, you have the
courage of convictions and stick to your convictions
and stand firm to implement them or prefer to resign
as a Finance Minister, because there is nothing to
lose at your age.
I
am also of your age and treat this as an old man's
tak-tak (Buk-Buk) to you.
Ahmedabad.
20/2/2004 V.J.DESAI
IMF
economists prick India's feel-good balloon
From
Economic Times - 19/1/2004
Economists
from the International Monetary Fund and top universities
are playing party poopers at a time when the BJP led
government is attempting to stoke the feel-good factor
in the run-up to the polls. In the current economic
scenario, the signs of a financial crisis are imminent
and unless a major fiscal adjustment process is kicked
off, a debt crisis could be in the offing, they have
warned.
At
a conference on fiscal policy in India, organized
by the NIPFP and the IMF Nouriel Roubini of New York
University and Richard Hemming of IMF said that many
fiscal indicators in India look worse compared to
other emerging market economies with a similar or
lower credit rating.
Similar
unflattering views on the financial state were presented
by Richardo Hausmann of the Kennedy School of Government,
Harvard University and by Catriona Purfield of the
IMF. According to them India's economic structure
has allowed it to tolerate levels of debt that would
make other countries insolvent. The current debt ratios
of India are only comparable to those of countries
that have had serious payment difficulties.
What
has surprised most of them is the fact that despite
these ratios, there is no manifest symptom of a fiscal
crisis. This is because nominal interest rates have
been sliding, the maturity of debt is longer, capital
inflows are buoyant and, as they have pointed out,
due to the low volatility in the debt service to revenue
ratio.
Hausmann
and Purfield have warned that current trends suggest
that India is on an unsustainable path and that it
eventually would have to adjust one way or other,
with or without a crisis.
According
to Roubini and Hemming, India mirrored, in some important
dimensions, the vulnerabilities of countries that
have experienced sovereign defaults or near-default
situation like Russia, Ecudaor, Argentina, Pakistan,
Urugauay. This is when viewed on parameters like fiscal
deficit and primary deficit as a percentage of GDP,
public debt as a share of GDP, a heavily managed exchange
rate, reliance on banks for financing of the deficit
and a vulnerable banking system. However, there has
not been a crisis due to India's limited liability
dollarisation, a large chunk of debt being rupee denominated,
lower external debt, lack of currency mismatches,
smaller current account imbalances, besides financial
repression and capital controls. The recipe provided
by both the set of authors is the same - fix the roof
now when the sun is shining.
A
safe Limit for Domestic Debt.
Dr. O. P. Brahmachary,
Reader and Head, Department of Economics,
Dr. R.M.L.S. College, Muzaffarpur.
Internal
debt has increased 55 times during 38 years of planning
from Rs.2022 crores in 1950-51 to Rs.1,44,453 crores
in 1988-89. This increased debt is due to eat up revenue
whereas Non-plan expenditure is done on the cost of
development projects. Utilization of domestic debt
has been controversial. Even R.B.I. the Government
Institution, is also displeased with the phenomenon.
Hence they have recommended to restrict the domestic
debt.
Policy
Recommendation :
Thus R.B.I. recommended that "it is, therefore,
necessary to bring about a phased reduction of revenue-deficit
by arresting the growth of non-plan revenue expenditure
and by increasing the Tax-GDP ratio". Report
further observed the fiscal stance, therefore, should
be to evolve a policy frame work which would keep
the domestic debt at a reasonable level.
The recommendations of R.B.I., thus, be put as follows
:
-
Revenue deficit be reduced.
- Non-Plan
expenditure be arrested.
-
Domestic debt be kept under limit.
Revenue
deficit may be reduced by prompt and proper collection
of taxes without introducing the new taxes and by
enhancing the profit of public undertakings.
Non-plan
expenditure may be arrested by cutting down the administrative
and non-recurring expenditure of Govt. Austerity in
administration, political pomp and show and simplicity
of living of leaders may restrict the non-plan expenditure.
Domestic
debt may be brought under legislative control as Americans
and Canadians have done. In U.S.A. "the provisions
limiting borrowing differ widely. In most jurisdictions
a maximum usually expressed as an absolute dollar
sum and one relatively low in terms of present-day
expenditure level, is set. Either this figure cannot
be exceeded at all or it can be exceeded only with
the approval of the voters at an election." They
further explained "these constitutional restrictions
have unquestionably lessened State borrowing is so
doing they have, perhaps, reduce waste." The
legal restrict on domestic borrowings is not contrary
to the constitution rather Article 292 of Indian Constitution
empowers Parliament to determine the limit of borrowing.
The measure to enact a law to fix the limit on the
public borrowing has been advocated by Dr. B. K. Madan,
Public accounts Committee and the Comptroller and
Auditor General of India and Sukhmoy Chakravarty.
Sooner the decision is made, better would be for the
economic development of India.
Mounting
Internal Debt - A serious Challenge to Fiscal Policy
Dr. B.M.Jauhari
Deptt. Of Post Graduate Studies
& Research in Economics,
M.M.H. College, Ghaziabad
We
have come into the danger zone of a debt trap. During
1988-89, the total liabilities of the Government were
around Rs.2,24,000 crore with a total interest burden
of Rs.14,000 crore. The burden of interest now forms
the largest single item of the non-plan expenditure,
higher than the defence which is at Rs.13,000 crore.
It is expected that during 1989-90 the Government
will borrow around Rs.27,000 crore and half of it
will be merely used to discharge the interest liability.
It has been further pointed out that by 1988-89 the
borrowings of the Government would exceed its assets
by Rs.40,000 crore. Every creditor of the Government
will get back only 82 paise in a rupee to day if the
Government had no power to print more currency notes.
Today the solvency of our Government is assured by
its mint alone.
The negative net worth of the Government, more precisely
the liabilities of the Government in excess of its
assets has been increasing quite sharply in the 1980s.
The budgetary deficit has been rising substantially.
The results of this reckless spending are becoming
evident and consequences disastrous. For every rupee
printed and circulated, the prices have responded
more than proportionately. Deficit on revenue account
of the Central Government since 1979-80 have created
serious distortions. Revenue expenditure has increased
faster than revenue receipts since 1979-80 at an average
14 percent annually against a growth in revenue receipt
of 11 percent. It has started telling quite adversely
on the size of real national income and the saving
of the society. The Government dependence on borrowing
has now reached such levels that it has almost no
resources to finance the current and the next plan.
The Annual Reports of the Comptroller and Auditor
General of India have also pointed a gloomy picture
and have warned the Government on this score. The
burden of internal public debt is assuming serious
proportions. The situation calls for urgent corrective
measures, curbs and controls on the printing, raising
and spending spree of the Government. It needs a co-ordinated
approach and an expert advice from fiscal, monetary
and growth experts, so that the nation comes out of
this debt or death trap at the earliest. It needs
sound management, realistic planning and reappraisal
of our policies. Let us not fall a victim to the trap
where, "Nations, once they began to borrow,
would be unable to desist until they reached the point
of bankruptcy."
Note
: Above two articles are taken from the Book
"Readings in Economics Servicing of Internal
Debt". Editor Dr.D.S.Awasthi, published by
the Indian Economic Assocaition.
I
am thankful to the writers and the Association, according
to them, steps should be taken considering finances
of 1988-89 years and warned :
"Nations,
once they began to borrow, would be unable to desist
until they reached the point of bankruptcy.
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